Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:23 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 7.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Santi Aldama has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
On the road, the Houston Rockets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (15th-worst in the NBA) against the Rockets, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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