Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has sunk 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Santi Aldama has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to 3-point attempts.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 8.7 shots made from the field per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, making this a positive matchup.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama places in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).
Santi Aldama will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production across the board.

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