Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Santi Aldama has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
The Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 37.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 11.5 shot attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 6thworst in in the league at home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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