Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New York Knicks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Santi Aldama has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road.
Santi Aldama has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 37.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama ranks in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against New York is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Knicks are at home, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (18.6%).
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the most sluggish pace home team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 9thworst in in the league with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While at home, the New York Knicks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).