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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 3.4 rate, Santi Aldama's shot attempts from downtown have risen this season to 4.6 per game.
  • The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).
  • The 9th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Raptors).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Santi Aldama has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (80th percentile).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • Santi Aldama has made a lowly 58.2% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 70.0 rate last year.
  • Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
  • Santi Aldama will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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