Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made 54.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 8.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama figures to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (125.4).
The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama has converted 58.4% of his free throws this year, ranking him in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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