Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made 54.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 6.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have totaled 121.6 points per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has made 58.5% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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