Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 76th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 4.8 per game this year.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase possessions for the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have nabbed 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
Santi Aldama has made 55.3% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 8th percentile among all players in the league.
Over the last 25 games, the other team has attempted 24.2 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

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