Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-109/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 6.7 mark, Santi Aldama's shots from the field have spiked this year to 10.2 per game.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league on the road with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has made a measly 60.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 70.0 rate last year.
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 24.9 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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