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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.

Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have averaged 43.8% on field goals (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road this year.

The Grizzlies will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace home offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Santi Aldama has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 18.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama comes in at the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for failed threes while playing away from home, totaling an enormous 3.0 per game this year.

Santi Aldama has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.

The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team has attempted 27.5 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

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