Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 6.7 rate, Santi Aldama's field goal attempts have spiked this season to 11.4 per game.
In comparison to last year's 3.4 mark, Santi Aldama's shot attempts from downtown have risen this year to 5.3 per game.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 25.8 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

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