Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made a terrific 2.3 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.5 rate last year.
Santi Aldama has averaged a terrific 26.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 20.9 minutes per game last year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has posted 105.3 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive output.
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 20.3 foul shots per game when the Minnesota Timberwolves are at home this year (5th-least in the league).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 0.0 clip, Santi Aldama's technical fouls have jumped this year to 0.1 per game.
As it relates to offense, the Memphis Grizzlies's poor 106.4 points per game settles in as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

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