Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 12.6 shots per game this year, significantly more than his 6.7 rate last year.
Santi Aldama has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.4 rate last year.
In comparison to last year's 20.9 mark, Santi Aldama's playing time has increased this year to 25.9 minutes per game.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Since the start of last season, opposing teams have averaged 10.9 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
As it relates to shooting, the Grizzlies's subpar 105.6 points per game playing at home measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Mavericks are playing at home, their opposition has attempted an enormous 25.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season (4th-most in the NBA).

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