Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made a terrific 2.6 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.5 rate last season.
Santi Aldama has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 9th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have attempted 21.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 0.0 mark, Santi Aldama's technical fouls have increased this season to 0.2 per game.
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Utah Jazz have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has converted a mere 33.3% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 80.1 mark last year.

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