Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 1.5 rate, Santi Aldama's three-point shots made have jumped this season to 3.0 per game.
Santi Aldama has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Timberwolves are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 24th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.4).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 0.0 rate, Santi Aldama's technical fouls have risen this year to 0.2 per game.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Relative to last season's 80.1% rate, Santi Aldama's foul-shot ability has fallen this season to 25.0%.

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