Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 10:02 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has converted a terrific 5.4 baskets per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.2 rate last year.
Santi Aldama has attempted 5.4 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.4 rate last year.
The matchup against Phoenix is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 26th-most FG attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.5).
The 10th-speediest pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
As it relates to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 106.8 points per game when playing on the road comes in as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, their opposition has grabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (preserving possessions that can create further chances for offense).

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