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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama slots into the 80th percentile for 3-point performance away from his home court with a a stellar 37.2% rate since the start of last season.
  • The 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
  • The Grizzlies check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama ranks in the 22nd percentile for field goal performance away from home with a a poor 39.7% rate since the start of last season.
  • In terms of shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 108.5 points per game playing at home rates 5th-lowest in the NBA this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, their opposition has totaled 124.5 points per game (most in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
  • This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Spurs are at home, opposing squads have attempted a massive 25.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the league).
  • Santi Aldama ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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