Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 18th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 21.4 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

With respect to treys, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 35.0% rate of drained threes away from their home court settles in as the 4th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
This matchup is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team has totaled the 9th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (35.5).

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