Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 3.4 treys per game this season, significantly more than his 1.5 rate last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has successfully made 87.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 7.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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