Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made 36.7% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Lakers is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a mere 20.7 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.
The Lakers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has made 69.3% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league.

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