Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 6:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has sunk 65.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season with the home court advantage.
Santi Aldama has attempted 3.5 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 1.5 mark last year.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.2%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Lakers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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