Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-123).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has posted a terrific 9.2 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.1 points per game last year.
Santi Aldama has successfully made a terrific 1.2 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.2 rate last year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Grizzlies.
When playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; when the Bulls are on their home court, the other team have attempted a massive 28.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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