Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has converted 67.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while at home.
Santi Aldama has made 66.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 29.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
The Clippers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted a massive 27.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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