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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 4.1 rate last year.

Santi Aldama has successfully made 66.7% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season with the home court advantage.

The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.0).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.

The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game this year when the Clippers are on the road (11th-least in the league).

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