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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Santi Aldama has converted 61.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season at home.
  • This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Magic are away from home, opposing squads have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.3%).
  • The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Santi Aldama has converted 94.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 14.1% more than he's sunk overall this season on his home court.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
  • The Magic have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 26.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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