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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Santi Aldama has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Santi Aldama has sunk 9.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Santi Aldama has averaged 11.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year when it comes to threes.

This matchup is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (37.5).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Grizzlies.

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