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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Santi Aldama has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Playing at home, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Santi Aldama has converted 9.7% of his three-pointers this year, ranking him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Santi Aldama has tallied 11.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of three-pointers.
  • This matchup is a favorable one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (121.8).
  • Santi Aldama has successfully made 61.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, putting him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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