Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has successfully made 9.7% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Santi Aldama has played 11.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama has sunk 61.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 15th percentile among all players in the league.

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