Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has converted 37.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Santi Aldama has made 86.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 11.1% higher than he's made in all games this season at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
While playing away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 fouls per game last year.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for threes; opposing clubs have totaled the 10th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (13.2).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.

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