Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has made 37.8% of his attempts from downtown this year, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Pacers.
Santi Aldama will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.1 fouls per game last season.
The Pacers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pacers may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 28.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (least in the NBA).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home in terms of attempts from downtown.

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