Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has sunk 65.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.4% more than he's made in all games this year.
Santi Aldama has sunk 66.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 27.8% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Santi Aldama has averaged a terrific 22.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 10.9 minutes per game last year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Lakers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production across the board.

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