Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made 73.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season playing at home.
Santi Aldama has successfully made 65.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 13.6% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a strong one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.1).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.1 fouls per game last season.
The Suns have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year while on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Suns may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 26.1 free throws per game this year on the road (5th-least [IN_THE_LEAGUE]).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season at home as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.

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