Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has made 45.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
Santi Aldama has converted 87.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's converted overall this season on his home court.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 22.4 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.1 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against the Spurs is a difficult one for threes; the other team have posted the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.1%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

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