Santi Aldama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made 45.5% of his three-point shots playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Santi Aldama has converted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this season while on his home court.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (which also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league [AT_HOME_TEAM] this year.
The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; away from their home court, their opposition have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (31.6).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 fouls per game last year.
When playing on the road, the Jazz have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Jazz is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 24.6 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the league).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to reduce possessions for the Jazz.

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