Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -234 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has made 63.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 30.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Santi Aldama has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (20th percentile).
The quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Grizzlies check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to three-pointers, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 34.3% rate of converted threes settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
Santi Aldama will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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