Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+106/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (5.6).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama rates in the 18th percentile for 3-point effectiveness on the road with a poor 12.5% rate this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
Santi Aldama ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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