Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 7.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Santi Aldama has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point shots, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 34.8% rate of successful threes places 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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