Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 2:17 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have averaged 5.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Warriors).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 2.2 rate, Santi Aldama's bricked 3-pointers have risen this season to 3.2 per game.
The Grizzlies check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.

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