Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama registers in the 75th percentile for three-point attempts while playing away from home, tallying 4.3 per game this year.
Santi Aldama has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (38.3%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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