Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made overall this year at home.
Santi Aldama has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against New Orleans is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.4).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have come down with 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The 7th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Grizzlies have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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