Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 4.6 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.4 rate last year.
The 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama places in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
In regard to shots from downtown, the Grizzlies's poor 34.1% rate of drained threes comes in as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Bulls are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 9th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6).
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Bulls).
Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, their opposition has snagged 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (preserving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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