Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 45.9% clip, Santi Aldama's 3-point prowess has risen this season to 41.8%.
Santi Aldama has attempted 7.8 threes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
In contrast to last year's 20.9 clip, Santi Aldama's playing time has increased this year to 26.5 minutes per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
The Grizzlies have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 29.5% on 3-pointers (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup.
The slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has brought down 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

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