Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 3.4 clip, Santi Aldama's shot attempts from downtown have increased this year to 5.7 per game.
Santi Aldama has played an impressive 26.5 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 20.9 minutes per game last season.
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has totaled 11.4 three-pointers per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The 10th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 32.5% rate of successful threes playing at home ranks fewest in the league this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).
While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower player production across the board.