Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+141/-185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.4 rate last year.
In comparison to last year's 20.9 mark, Santi Aldama's playing time has increased this year to 25.9 minutes per game.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Since the start of last season, opposing teams have averaged 10.9 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
In terms of threes, the Grizzlies's subpar 32.5% rate of converted threes while playing on the road measures as the lowest in the NBA this year.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense).
Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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