Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has converted 37.0% of his shots from downtown when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Santi Aldama places in the 82nd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on his home court, tallying 5.0 per game this year.
Santi Aldama has been called for a mere 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.3 fouls per game last year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Grizzlies's subpar 34.0% rate of successful threes when playing on the road rates 5th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 9th-least shots from downtown per game in the league since the start of last season (1.6).
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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