Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+164/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -215.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has successfully made 9.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
Santi Aldama has played 11.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year when it comes to 3-pointers.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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