Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+185/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -230.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
This matchup is a tough one for three-point attempts; their opposition have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games when the Lakers have the home court advantage (30.2).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has converted 9.7% of his three-point attempts this year, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Santi Aldama has tallied 11.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year when it comes to threes.
At home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.