Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has posted 3.1 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent games: 79th percentile.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which should increase plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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