Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has posted 3.1 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league by this metric recently: 79th percentile.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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