Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Santi Aldama has played 29.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.
Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama is expected to see a rise in performance for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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